Hello trader, and welcome to our weekly update, where we highlight the main opportunities and key news from the financial markets. After all, with the right analysis, it’s always possible to be profitable — especially when we pay close attention to what’s happening now and what lies ahead in the world.
The beginning of the week is always a great time, as the markets are in full swing. Major companies and businesses are operating at their peak, making this the perfect moment to build your experience and develop the knowledge you’re aiming for.
Global markets started the week on a more optimistic note, supported by a combination of partial relief in trade tensions between the United States and China, key remarks from monetary authorities, and a heavy macroeconomic agenda that could reshape traders’ expectations for the rest of the month.
The initial trigger for this rebound was US President Donald Trump’s decision to suspend tariffs on imported smartphones and other electronic devices, directly benefiting the technology sector — particularly companies with high exposure to China. The move provided an immediate boost to New York futures and Asian stock markets, with notable pre-market gains from Apple, Nvidia, and Dell.
Despite the relief, the environment remains fragile. China responded to the announcement by pushing for the complete removal of “reciprocal” tariffs — a request promptly rejected by Trump. The US president confirmed that technology products would remain subject to a 20% tariff, linked to the current package affecting chemicals, including fentanyl. He also hinted at upcoming tariffs on semiconductors in the coming days, adding further uncertainty to the next chapter of trade relations between the world’s two largest economies.
Monetary Outlook: Central Banks in the Spotlight
Alongside the political backdrop, the week’s economic narrative will be heavily influenced by monetary policy decisions. The European Central Bank (ECB) takes centre stage with its interest rate announcement on Thursday (17), followed by a press conference with President Christine Lagarde. Markets will closely watch the ECB’s positioning, especially in light of recent signs of a slowdown in core eurozone inflation.
On Wednesday, the Bank of Canada is set to release its latest monetary guidance, while the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) follows on Saturday. In Asia, the Bank of Korea and the Central Bank of Turkey will also update their policies, potentially influencing local currencies and global capital flows. This wave of central bank activity heightens sensitivity to global interest rate paths and sovereign yield curves — particularly at a time when markets are debating the timing of rate cuts or extended pauses.
In the US, several Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak throughout the week, with a key address by Chair Jerome Powell on Wednesday expected to provide further clarity on the Fed’s policy direction. The recent pressure on Treasury yields and rising FX market volatility make every comment more impactful.
Key Economic Indicators
From a macroeconomic perspective, traders will be monitoring a series of data releases with the potential to move markets. In the US, March retail sales and industrial production figures will be published — both seen as important gauges of domestic activity. Meanwhile, the eurozone consumer price index (CPI) will also be released, offering insight into inflation trends under the ECB’s restrictive stance.
On Thursday, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) kicks off its Spring Meetings, gathering global economic leaders for discussions on growth, fiscal stability, trade, and monetary policy. Markets may respond to any strong signals about the global outlook, especially if systemic risks to the financial system or international capital flows are highlighted.
Earnings Season & Commodities
Corporate earnings will also gain momentum this week, with the start of the US Q1 reporting season. Major names include Goldman Sachs (Monday), Citigroup and Bank of America (Tuesday), and Netflix and TSMC on Thursday. Focus will be not only on earnings figures but also on forward guidance — particularly regarding the impact of trade tariffs and monetary policy on consumption and credit conditions.
In the commodities market, oil continues to rise, supported by eased trade concerns and expectations of stronger global demand if interest rate cuts materialise in key economies. Brent and WTI futures are trading higher, alongside gains in iron ore prices in China — a move driven by anticipated fiscal and monetary stimulus from the Chinese government.
Conclusion: A Strategic Week to Reassess Risk Appetite
Although the week began with signs of optimism, the outlook remains highly sensitive to developments in trade policy, central bank rhetoric, and economic data. Traders should stay alert to the interplay between politics and fundamentals, with a focus on liquidity, volatility, and potential revisions in market expectations as the week progresses.
Caution still dominates the landscape. The reaction of global assets will depend directly on the tone adopted by monetary authorities, the consistency between data and forecasts, and the ability of companies to maintain operational stability amid an uncertain global economic cycle.
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